Showing posts with label Bursa Malaysia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bursa Malaysia. Show all posts

21 July 2012

Summary of Analyst Report: Bursa Malaysia target price at RM 6, Fully Valued - HwangDBS Vickers

Net profit of RM37.9mil (a drop of 7% quarter-on-quarter) for the second quarter of financial year 2012 (FY12) took first-half earnings to RM78.7mil or 55% of our FY12 estimate.

The second-quarter profit was weaker quarter-on-quarter largely due to lower revenues; operating expenses were relatively stable despite lower marketing and development expenses.

Revenue from equities fell 16% quarter-on-quarter due to softer trading activity in the securities market.

Average daily turnover volume and value in the second quarter fell to 1.14 billion (a drop of 41%) and RM1.48bil (a drop of 21%), respectively, while velocity fell to 27% from 34% a quarter ago.

Derivatives revenue improved by 33%, led by trading volume which rose 30%. Stable revenue, which largely tracks listing activity, was flat in the quarter.

It has declared 13.5 sen interim dividend per share (single-tier).

We are keeping our FY12 assumptions: average daily turnover volume of 1.11 billion and daily turnover value of RM1.47bil.

The strong trading momentum in the first quarter has fizzled out quickly in the second quarter and current market sentiment remains volatile.

Our key concern remains the sustainability of trading volumes and values. Year-to-date Jun average daily turnover volume and value were 1.53 billion and RM1.67bil, respectively.

Our RM6 target price is based on the dividend discount model, which assumes 90% dividend payout, 7% long-term growth and 11% cost of equity.

Source: www.thestar.com.my

08 May 2012

Bursa Malaysia plans to introduce exchange traded bonds (ETBs), to obtain market feedback to the amendments before it fine tunes and finalises the rules

(BURSA opening stock price today (8.5.2012) was RM 6.79 )

After years of talk, Malaysian bond market players are excited that Bursa Malaysia has come out with a draft that will amend the regulatory framework that will allow Malaysian retail investors buy and trade conventional and Islamic bonds.

This is, however, still a work in progress as Bursa Malaysia is keen to obtain market feedback to the amendments before it fine tunes and finalises the rules.

Last Friday, it invited market public feedback on a host of changes planned that will also allow listed bonds to trade on the main exchange and on the over-the-counter exchange.

The plans would introduce exchange traded bonds (ETBs) aimed at offering greater choices for investors who were seeking investment grade products that yield stable returns with capital protection, said the announcement.

The deadline for comments on the consultation paper will be May 18.

“From an asset diversification point of view, the idea for ETBs is great,” said one Kuala Lumpur-based investor. “It gives retail investors another asset class, and another avenue to invest.”

Bursa pointed out that the new class of sukuk and bonds, as lower risk instruments such as equity securities, opened up a new world of fixed-income investment alternatives, and since the bonds would be listed and traded, would give visibility on the order book depth and bid-offer level, which made it an efficient price discovery of the listed sukuk andbonds.

The consultation paper seems to address a key issue raised by the debt market players - the fungibility of bonds listed on the main stock exchange and to be traded on the OTC markets.

Both markets operate on completely different platforms, and lot sizes are vastly different, making risks much higher for the market maker in the far smaller OTC markets.

Bursa seems to have anticipated that barrier and is proposing that market makers be given fungibility between the two exchanges to move sukuk or debt securities.

“Movement of sukuk or debt securities between ETBs and OTC will be facilitated by Bursa Depository together with the facility agent using similar mechanics that is already in place for dual-listed companies,” said the consultation paper.

That seemed to please some debt market players.

“If they say that, then the bonds can be moved through OTC or the exchange, and that means the bonds will be fungible through both markets which will make life much easier for us,” said one local debt trader.

But market players raised another barrier - the expected increase in transaction costs for the issuers as a list of requirements may have to be met especially for retail issues.

A debt syndicate banker noted that a full prospectus could be needed if the issuer decides to go for the retail or public offering, which makes an issuance more time-consuming and expensive than going to the institutional market.

Other things that may add costs for an issuer of ETBs is the appointment of trustee, the hiring of a paying agent based in Malaysia even for foreign issuers and the appointment of an agent or representative in Malaysia by a foreign issuer to communicate with Bursa.

Guarantors of bonds might also be required to disclose financial statements on a semi-annual basis as well, which became cumbersome for guarantors but this, said Bursa, was to further protect the interests of investors, particularly retail investors that the ETBs plan to capture.

The consultation paper spells out the proposed key features of ETBs, under which approvals will be needed from Securities Commission on an issuance and from Bursa Securuties for the listing with automatic quotation to be granted for government-guaranteed bonds.

In addition, a prospectus will be required for all private debt securities, excluding those guaranteed by the Federal Government or state governments or Bank Negara Malaysia.

Bonds with retail offerings will still require nods from SC and Bursa for listing and quotation of the bonds.

Under the proposed amendments, no minimum size or public spread will be imposed, while only bonds with over a one-year maturity can be listed and traded. Listing of bonds are limited to those with local ratings of AA or AAA or international rating of BBB and above. - Reuters

Source: www.thestar.com.my

23 April 2012

Maybank Research maintains its forecast of 11% growth in 2012 core net profit for Bursa, target price RM 7.00, Hold

(BURSA opening stock price today (23.4.2012) was RM 6.85 )

WE maintain our forecast for an 11% growth in 2012 core net profit. The first quarter ended March 31, 2012 of RM40.8mil made up 25% of our full-year forecast.

Our target price is also unchanged as we continue to peg Bursa at a 20% discount to our target 25 times for Singapore Exchange Ltd.

The weaker operating revenue of -7% was off-set by higher other income and lower operating expenditure (opex), resulting in flattish net profit growth.

It reflects slower market activities where equities average daily trading value (ADV) came off 12% to MR1.97bil and velocity slowed 8 percentage points (ppts) to 34%.

The average daily contracts on derivatives also fell by 16% to 31,015 contracts in the first quarter due to lower volatility. However it rebounded on a sequential basis, up 30% quarter-on-quarter.

Almost the entire 18% pick-up in operating revenue flowed directly down to the bottomline, except for a 5% rise in opex.

The operating revenue rebound was due to higher equities ADV and velocity which resulted in trading revenue from equities rising 25%. It was also due to higher other operating revenue, which off-set slower trading revenue from derivatives as average daily contracts was down by 11% quarter-on-quarter.

The internal mid-term key performance indicators are unchanged with an average net profit growth of at least 20% per annum over 2011 to 2013, a growth in equities ADV to be at par with the leading regional listed exchanges, and 50,000 average daily contracts for derivatives by 2013, implying a 20% compounded annual growth rate from 2011.

We therefore forecast a more conservative 10% to 11% growth in 2012 to 2013 net profit with the major assumptions being RM1.82bil in equities ADV and velocity at 35% in 2012.

Source: www.thestar.com.my